SALSA: QoS-aware load balancing for autonomous service brokering

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Implications of Z-normalization in the matrix profile

Companies are increasingly measuring their products and services, resulting in a rising amount of available time series data, making techniques to extract usable information needed. One state-of-the-art technique for time series is the Matrix Profile, which has been used for various applications including motif/discord discovery, visualizations and semantic segmentation. Internally, the Matrix Profile utilizes the z-normalized Euclidean distance to compare the shape of subsequences between two series. However, when comparing subsequences that are relatively flat and contain noise, the resulting distance is high despite the visual similarity of these subsequences. This property violates some of the assumptions made by Matrix Profile based techniques, resulting in worse performance when series contain flat and noisy subsequences. By studying the properties of the z-normalized Euclidean distance, we derived a method to eliminate this effect requiring only an estimate of the standard deviation of the noise. In this paper we describe various practical properties of the z-normalized Euclidean distance and show how these can be used to correct the performance of Matrix Profile related techniques. We demonstrate our techniques using anomaly detection using a Yahoo! Webscope anomaly dataset, semantic segmentation on the PAMAP2 activity dataset and for data visualization on a UCI activity dataset, all containing real-world data, and obtain overall better results after applying our technique. Our technique is a straightforward extension of the distance calculation in the Matrix Profile and will benefit any derived technique dealing with time series containing flat and noisy subsequences

Outer raceway fault detection and localization for deep groove ball bearings by using thermal imaging

This paper discusses outer raceway fault detection and localization for rolling element bearings by means of thermal imaging. In particular, deep groove ball bearings have been monitored. Whereas bearings in industrial applications are usually fully covered, the used test setup allows to monitor the uncovered bearings to understand their heat increase and propagation. The main contribution of this paper is the methodology to process and analyse the thermal data of the bearings. The presented methodology is applied on both a healthy bearing and a bearing with outer raceway fault. By revealing significantly higher temperatures for the faulty bearing than for the healthy bearing, thermal imaging enables fault detection. Additionally, the stationary characteristic of the outer ring allows to locate the outer raceway fault by means of its thermal impact

Multi-sensor fire detection by fusing visual and non-visual flame features

This paper proposes a feature-based multi-sensor fire detector operating on ordinary video and long wave infrared (LWIR) thermal images. The detector automatically extracts hot objects from the thermal images by dynamic background subtraction and histogram-based segmentation. Analogously, moving objects are extracted from the ordinary video by intensity-based dynamic background subtraction. These hot and moving objects are then further analyzed using a set of flame features which focus on the distinctive geometric, temporal and spatial disorder characteristics of flame regions. By combining the probabilities of these fast retrievable visual and thermal features, we are able to detect the fire at an early stage. Experiments with video and LWIR sequences of lire and non-fire real case scenarios show good results in id indicate that multi-sensor fire analysis is very promising

Bayesian convolutional neural networks for RUL prognostics of solenoid valves with uncertainty estimations

Solenoid valves (SV) are essential components of industrial systems and therefore widely used. As they suffer from high failure rates in the field, fault prognosis of these assets plays a major role for improving their maintenance and reliability. In this work, Bayesian convolutional neural networks are used to predict the remaining useful life (RUL) of SVs, by training them on the valve's current signatures. Predictive performance is further improved upon by using salient physical features obtained from an electromechanical model as the network's training input. Results show that our designed network architecture produces well-calibrated uncertainty estimations of the RUL predictive distributions, which is an important concern in prognostic decision-making

GENESIM : genetic extraction of a single, interpretable model

Models obtained by decision tree induction techniques excel in being interpretable.However, they can be prone to overfitting, which results in a low predictive performance. Ensemble techniques are able to achieve a higher accuracy. However, this comes at a cost of losing interpretability of the resulting model. This makes ensemble techniques impractical in applications where decision support, instead of decision making, is crucial. To bridge this gap, we present the GENESIM algorithm that transforms an ensemble of decision trees to a single decision tree with an enhanced predictive performance by using a genetic algorithm. We compared GENESIM to prevalent decision tree induction and ensemble techniques using twelve publicly available data sets. The results show that GENESIM achieves a better predictive performance on most of these data sets than decision tree induction techniques and a predictive performance in the same order of magnitude as the ensemble techniques. Moreover, the resulting model of GENESIM has a very low complexity, making it very interpretable, in contrast to ensemble techniques.Comment: Presented at NIPS 2016 Workshop on Interpretable Machine Learning in Complex System

Interpretable detection of unstable smart TV usage from power state logs

Power state logs from smart TVs are collected in order to construct a time-series representation of their usage. Time-series that belong to a TV exhibiting instability problems are classified accordingly. To do so, an automated feature extraction approach is used, together with linear classification methods in order to realise interpretable classification decisions. A normalized true positive rate of 0.84 ± 0.10 is obtained for the classification. The normalized true negative rate equals 0.80 ± 0.03. The final model returns a regularity statistic called the Approximate Entropy as its most important feature